Politics

ADC raises alarm over ‘statistically implausible’ voter registration figures

The African Democratic Congress (ADC) has warned that Nigeria’s 2027 general elections could be compromised if the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) fails to address what it described as “statistically implausible” voter registration figures.

In a statement signed by its National Publicity Secretary, Mallam Bolaji Abdullahi, the party expressed concern over the credibility of the electoral process, citing suspicious figures from Osun State and the South-West zone that, according to the ADC, defy historical voting patterns and demographic realities.

The party said INEC’s report indicated that Osun State recorded 393,269 pre-registrations in just one week—higher than the 275,815 new voters registered in the state between 2019 and 2023.

“Even at its peak of political mobilisation in 2022, Osun has never produced more than 823,124 votes cast in a governorship election. Now, by some miracle, nearly 20 percent of all eligible adults in the state have rushed to register. This is not just unusual; it is statistically implausible,” Abdullahi said.

The ADC further highlighted that the South-West accounted for 848,359 pre-registrations, representing 67 percent of the national total, while the South-East recorded just 1,998. Similarly, five states—Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia and Adamawa—recorded a combined 4,153.

“These fantastic figures suggest either another technical glitch in INEC’s digital registration system, or a more troubling possibility of deliberate manipulation of data to prepare the ground for a sinister agenda in the coming elections. In either case, INEC has explanations to give,” the statement added.

Warning that the voter register forms the bedrock of credible elections, the ADC stressed that anomalies in the data could undermine public trust. “If the foundation is compromised, it raises questions about the integrity of the elections. Nigerians still remember the bitter consequences of flawed voter rolls and technical glitches in past elections. Our democracy cannot withstand another one,” the party cautioned.

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